Every major election brings a familiar cry by some candidates, "The polls are wrong"; or "the polls don't accurately predict the way our supporters will turn out".
Occasionally they are correct, but usually they are wrong. In recent decades in election after election, pollsters prove to be surprisingly correct, given the margin of error that everyone acknowledges.
In the latest Iowa Poll, Joni Ernst has a 51-44 percent lead that appears to be unbeatable. It would seem likely, that barring a political earthquake, the race is over and that Republicans are winning, not only in Iowa, but also in many other states with close elections.
But, of course, until the votes are counted, it is never over.
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